Carlyle Group Quarterly Profit Rises on Private-Equity Dealmaking

Carlyle Group Quarterly Profit Rises on Private-Equity Dealmaking

Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) reported higher quarterly profits driven by surging private-equity dealmaking activity, with shares rising despite a modest Q4 earnings miss offset by record annual results and strong fundraising.[2][3]

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The firm posted record annual earnings as of February 6, 2026, reflecting robust performance in its core private-equity segment amid recovering **private equity exit strategies in SaaS** and broader M&A markets.[3] Full-year fundraising gains cushioned the quarterly shortfall, pushing the stock up 1.62% to $58.48 in recent trading.[2]

Dealmaking Surge Fuels Profit Growth

Private-equity dealmaking provided the primary lift, aligning with industry trends where firms like Carlyle capitalize on stabilizing valuations and increased deployment. Carlyle shares benefited from heightened activity in **cross-border M&A trends 2025**, including reported moves like PayPal’s potential takeover of Carlyle’s stake in e-commerce platform Shopware.[2] Brokerages maintain a consensus “Hold” rating with an average price target of $60.87, recently raised to $67 by some analysts.[2]

Compared to peers, Carlyle’s results echo strength seen at KKR & Co. Inc. (NYSE:KKR), which anticipates quarterly earnings release on January 29, 2026, amid similar portfolio resilience in private debt and equity.[5] KKR co-founder Henry Kravis noted no systemic risk in private debt, underscoring sector durability.[5]

Financial Snapshot and Market Context

Metric Carlyle Group (CG) Recent Peer Comparison
Stock Price (Close) $58.48 (+1.62%) KKR: $121.23 (+0.23%)[5]
Consensus Price Target $60.87 KKR: $166 (Morgan Stanley)[5]
Key Driver Record annual earnings, fundraising Private debt resilience[5]

Institutional interest remains steady, with firms like William Blair holding $511.40 million in Carlyle stock and Allspring Global Investments acquiring new positions.[2] This contrasts with selective selling by others, such as US Bancorp DE.[2]

Implications for Private Equity Investors

The results signal renewed momentum in **private equity dealmaking trends 2026**, as lower rates and predictable policy support deployment. McKinsey insights on M&A highlight similar upticks in infrastructure and tech exits, while Bain notes valuation discipline aiding returns. For C-level executives eyeing **PE exit strategies**, Carlyle’s performance underscores the value of diversified fundraising amid volatile credit markets.

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Regulatory risks persist, but Carlyle’s caution in credit—echoed by peers—positions it for sustained growth. Investors should monitor upcoming quarters for deal realization rates and fee-related earnings stability.

Sources

 

https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NYSE/DOC/news/, https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/CG/news/, https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/2, https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/FRHC/news/, https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NYSE/KKR/news/, https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/6, https://www.aa.com.tr/en/energy/oil/oil-edges-higher-on-us-iran-tensions/54289, https://capitolfax.com/category/illinois/page/2/

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