The $4 billion final close of Neuberger Berman’s NB Strategic Capital Fund II—oversubscribed by 60% against its $2.5 billion target—represents more than a fundraising triumph. It marks the maturation of GP-led secondaries as private equity’s new liquidity backbone, with the strategy now commanding 46% of the $162 billion global secondary market[15][16]. As traditional exit routes remain constrained by volatile public markets and regulatory pressures, this capital infusion positions Neuberger Berman at the vanguard of a sector projected to grow 23% annually through 2027[16].
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The GP-Led Liquidity Infrastructure Playbook
Market Dynamics Fueling Secondary Growth
Three structural forces converge to drive GP-led secondaries’ dominance: 1) $3.2 trillion in aging private equity assets requiring liquidity solutions[1], 2) LPs’ demand for portfolio rebalancing tools amid volatile public markets[14], and 3) GPs’ strategic preference to retain control of trophy assets through continuation vehicles. The 2024 secondary market saw 51 deals exceeding $1 billion—a 50% increase from 2023—with single-asset transactions comprising 48% of GP-led volume[16]. This reflects sponsors’ growing sophistication in using continuation funds to bypass IPO uncertainties while maintaining ownership of cash-generative enterprises[14].
Neuberger’s Decade-Long Architecture
Neuberger Berman’s latest fundraise culminates a 10-year buildout of secondary market infrastructure: 190+ deals executed in 2024 alone, $15.5 billion deployed across primaries and secondaries, and a proprietary pipeline evaluating 2,900+ annual opportunities[1][13]. The firm’s integrated platform—combining $135 billion in private markets AUM with public market research capabilities—enables unique pricing power. Recent analysis shows NB-led continuation funds delivering 19.3% net IRR since 2020, outperforming the 15.7% median for traditional buyouts[13][14].
Competitive Landscape: First-Mover Advantages Cement
Capital Concentration Accelerates
With dry powder for GP-led strategies reaching $288 billion[16], the market shows early signs of bifurcation. Neuberger, Blackstone, and Lexington now control 38% of dedicated continuation fund capital—a figure projected to hit 50% by 2026 as smaller players struggle with sourcing and underwriting complexity[15][16]. The firm’s latest fund boasts a 4:1 re-up ratio from SOF IV investors, locking in institutional capital that new entrants can’t easily displace[2][13].
Regulatory & Structural Headwinds
SEC scrutiny of continuation fund valuations—up 27% since 2023—poses challenges for less-established managers[14]. Neuberger’s response includes implementing AI-driven NAV verification models and partnering with third-party auditors on 92% of 2024 deals[13]. Concurrently, the rise of evergreen structures (50+ launched in 2024) forces GPs to balance liquidity demands with long-term asset stewardship[5][8].
The New Liquidity Calculus for LPs & Sponsors
LP Portfolio Optimization
Top-tier pension funds now allocate 12-15% to secondaries—double 2020 levels—with NB’s RESOF II real estate vehicle attracting $1.05 billion by focusing on middle-market assets at 0.7x NAV[4][11]. The firm’s 68-company portfolio demonstrates secondary strategies’ diversification potential, combining 34% venture roll-ups with 41% mature buyouts[8][14].
GP Strategic Considerations
Sponsors using continuation funds report 22% higher carried interest realization versus traditional exits, per NB internal data[13]. The structure’s flexibility allows for recapitalizations (38% of 2024 deals), add-on acquisitions (29%), and public market bridging (15%)[16]. KKR’s $6B Asia Fund II and EQT’s recent €11B exit surge validate this approach[7][12].
Forward Outlook: Secondary Markets as Primary Exit
2025 Projections & Risks
Jefferies forecasts $185B+ in 2025 secondary volume, driven by 85 pending GP-led processes exceeding $500 million each[16]. Key risks include NAV compression in tech roll-ups (23% of 2024 deals) and regulatory proposals requiring 30-day liquidity windows for evergreen funds[5][14]. Neuberger’s response—a $2B dedicated tech secondary pool and daily liquidity swaps for 40 Act vehicles—positions it to capture this volatility[8][13].
Strategic Implications for Allocators
With GP-led secondaries projected to comprise 60% of PE distributions by 2027[14], Neuberger’s scale provides institutional investors three critical advantages: 1) Access to proprietary deal flow via 2,900+ annual evaluations[1], 2) Co-investment rights in 78% of continuation vehicles[13], and 3) ESG integration meeting SFDR Article 8 standards across 94% of assets[1][4]. As the $100B+ GP-led market consolidates, first-mover platforms like NB appear poised to capture disproportionate value.
Sources
https://www.ainvest.com/news/gp-led-liquidity-revolution-neuberger-berman-4b-fund-raise-signals-era-private-markets-2506/, https://www.nb.com/en/us/press-releases/neuberger-berman-raises-4-billion-for-fifth-global-private-equity-secondary-fund, https://www.nb.com/handlers/documents.ashx?id=11100bf1-960c-4634-b432-287f36ad4577, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/neuberger-berman-surpasses-target-to-raise-1-billion-for-real-estate-secondary-opportunities-fund-ii-302386140.html, https://www.torys.com/our-latest-thinking/torys-quarterly/q1-2025/secondaries-in-2025, https://pwss.collercapital.com/pc-secondaries-gp-market/, https://altgoesmainstream.substack.com/p/agm-alts-weekly-12625, https://www.nb.com/en/us/press-releases/nb-access-fund-surpasses-1b-in-assets, https://fcic-static.law.stanford.edu/cdn_media/fcic-testimony/SEC/SEC%20Follow%20Up%20Exhibits%20Part%20E%20SEC_TM_FCIC_006001-7085.pdf, https://www.goodwinlaw.com/en/news-and-events/news/2022/10/10_07-neuberger-berman-raises, https://www.nb.com/en/us/press-releases/nb-surpasses-target-to-raise-1b-for-real-estate-secondary-opportunities-fund-ii, https://www.avcj.com/digital_assets/7383/264748AVCJDec10_2013a.pdf, https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/neuberger-berman-raises-4-billion-for-latest-gp-led-secondary-fund-marking-one-of-the-largest-raises-in-a-rapidly-growing-market-302473462.html, https://www.nb.com/en/global/insights/insights_opportunity_in_the_undercapitalized_world_of_private_equity_secondaries, https://www.blackrock.com/institutions/en-us/insights/market-update-h1-2025, https://www.jefferies.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2025/02/Jefferies-Global-Secondary-Market-Review-January-2025.pdf, https://globalfundsearch.com/private-markets/private-equity-gp-led-secondaries/, https://www.robinai.com/post/surge-in-continuation-funds-expected-to-continue-in-2025